Intention to grow cotton in the country in 2015

In January 2015, the Cotton Association of China Cotton Association and the Xinjiang Huatai Cotton Cooperative carried out the first 2015 cotton planting intention survey for 2760 cotton farmers in 12 provinces and 310 counties (cities and groups) in the Xinjiang Autonomous Region. The survey results showed that the national average planting intention fell by 25.4%.

In terms of sub-regions, the cotton planting cost in Xinjiang decreased, but the cotton yield decreased, resulting in a 11.55% reduction in cotton planting intention in the region. The inland cotton area was affected by factors such as low cotton prices, low production, and increased labor costs. Cotton intentions fell sharply.

Of the 2,760 cotton farmers surveyed, 59.65% were preparing to reduce the cotton planting area, only 0.89% were ready to increase, 16.31% were the same as the previous year, and 23.15% were still waiting to see. Based on the area of ​​the association in 2014, the national cotton planting area in 2015 is estimated to be 47.294 million mu.

The intention of planting in the Yellow River Basin decreased by 42.21% in 2015, including the three major producing provinces of Henan, Hebei, and Shandong, each with a reduction of more than 40%. Of the cotton farmers surveyed, 46.14% were cotton farmers preparing to reduce the cotton planting area, which was 23.68% the same as the previous year. The number of cotton farmers who were preparing to increase accounted for only 1.94%, and the number of households who accounted for 28.4%.

The farmers in the Yangtze River Valley lacked confidence in cotton cultivation, and their intention to plant cotton decreased by 41.87%. Especially in Hunan Province, the area has dropped by more than 60%. Among the cotton farmers surveyed in the Yangtze River Valley, 48.22% were cotton farmers preparing to reduce the cotton planting area, accounting for 20.84%, which was the same as the previous year, and accounted for 30.34% of the households.

Cotton planting intentions in Xinjiang's cotton area decreased by 11.5%. Among them, some local areas are expected to increase the area of ​​forest fruit; the BINGTUAN surveyed 10 divisions and the intention to plant cotton decreased by 12.03% year-on-year. Most divisions plan to reduce cotton planting area and adjust the industrial structure next year. Among the cotton farmers surveyed, 82.35% are cotton farmers who are prepared to reduce the cotton planting area, which is equal to 5.88% in the previous year. 11.76% of the cotton farmers are still waiting to see.